What's Your Time Preference?

  • The pattern match of career to Eurogame strikes me as deeply flawed.

    You can have a long time horizon at 70 and plant trees whose shade you will not sit under.

    Ends become means and the board resets every few years (3-5 in a fast moving industry; 7-10 in a "normal one" 12-20 in a slow one).

    I think this is more about pacing layers, where chance and random events play a much larger role than this analysis seems to capture as well.

    Applying the Somers post to career planning ignores a number of innovators and leaders who were viewed as wrong or obsolete until suddenly they were not.

    Most breakthroughs come from 'non-consensus' perspectives: speed matters less than the depth and quality of the paradigm change.

    I think you are painting yourself into a corner with this model. I think you can continue to learn and grow at any age.