A former U.S. nuclear warplanner (https://www.linkedin.com/in/dmteter) is developing an open source target database and target laydowns against U.S. targets, assuming a Russian attack in present day. He focuses on three scenarios, two excursion scenarios (a pure "counterforce" attack in which Russia only targets U.S. nuclear weapons, a pure "countervaule" attack in which Russia focuses entirely on creating maximum death and damage to infrastructure) and one main scenario that would generally be considered the most likely type of attack, which is a blend of counterforce and countervalue.
Some notes I've taken from his reddit and Twitter explanations: this attack is modeled against the U.S. only. He did not attempt to do targeting for the EU theatre as that gets into his previous job, which was very intimately familiar with a lot of classified stuff that he doesn't want to build into a map; however, he said that EU/APAC/maybe China theatre would be targeted, mostly with shorter range "tactical" weapons.
He did a ton of work, calculating VNTK (https://acronyms.thefreedictionary.com/VNTK) for each target, and planned his attack just like he used to plan attacks against the Russian theatre, making sure to hit things like spent fuel storage for area denial, hitting the right dams to cascade fail hydrology management on major rivers (Baton Rouge would be under a couple hundred feet of water within a few weeks and would be "scoured clean"), etc. In the end, he estimates that 95 percent of the U.S. population would be dead within 18 months of the attack due to complete lack of infrastructure, food, water, medicine, medical treatment, logistics, heat, power, etc.
Main GitHub page: https://github.com/davidteter/OPEN-RISOP
A former U.S. nuclear warplanner (https://www.linkedin.com/in/dmteter) is developing an open source target database and target laydowns against U.S. targets, assuming a Russian attack in present day. He focuses on three scenarios, two excursion scenarios (a pure "counterforce" attack in which Russia only targets U.S. nuclear weapons, a pure "countervaule" attack in which Russia focuses entirely on creating maximum death and damage to infrastructure) and one main scenario that would generally be considered the most likely type of attack, which is a blend of counterforce and countervalue.
Some notes I've taken from his reddit and Twitter explanations: this attack is modeled against the U.S. only. He did not attempt to do targeting for the EU theatre as that gets into his previous job, which was very intimately familiar with a lot of classified stuff that he doesn't want to build into a map; however, he said that EU/APAC/maybe China theatre would be targeted, mostly with shorter range "tactical" weapons.
He did a ton of work, calculating VNTK (https://acronyms.thefreedictionary.com/VNTK) for each target, and planned his attack just like he used to plan attacks against the Russian theatre, making sure to hit things like spent fuel storage for area denial, hitting the right dams to cascade fail hydrology management on major rivers (Baton Rouge would be under a couple hundred feet of water within a few weeks and would be "scoured clean"), etc. In the end, he estimates that 95 percent of the U.S. population would be dead within 18 months of the attack due to complete lack of infrastructure, food, water, medicine, medical treatment, logistics, heat, power, etc.