Whales vs. Minnows and Pitfalls of Prediction Markets

  • Austin from Manifold here -- the actions and fallout from the Whales vs Minnows market definitely led to some soul-searching on our team and among our community. I'm grateful that we're seeing our users get so hyped up about a relatively silly game! At the same time, we're trying to refocus our prediction markets on noteworthy, valuable topics for the world (eg at https://manifold.markets/group/showcase)

    For fun: One of our users generated a dramatized trailer video with AI at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qV3bgODqIBc