Can anyone comment on this article?
" That the Gulf Stream is responsible for Europe's mild winters is widely known and accepted, but, as I will show, it is nothing more than the earth-science equivalent of an urban legend."
https://www.americanscientist.org/article/the-source-of-euro...
I could use some expert advice...
There was an article in Nature the other year about AMOC periodicity across a long term timescale. Apparently you get high temperatures, then instability, then a gulf stream reversal every few thousand years, followed by glaciers coming south.
Long term temperature increase due to complex systems like AMOC could explain why we see measurable linear temperature increases starting in the 1880s, instead of the 1940s as CO2 forcing might predict, have historical evidence of extremely cold weather in classical Europe (frozen Rhine, etc.), and have evidence of warmer temperatures than today with the Holocene maximum about 8,000 years ago.
To save others from reading pages upon pages of fluff:
The siblings spent two years refining their approach, doing more tests. Across a thousand runs, the model cranked through the temperature data and settled on a year. Sometimes the model spat out later dates. Sometimes earlier. The two scientists made a plot of the numbers and a neat cluster emerged. Yes—2057. But that’s just the middle point: In 95 percent of the model’s simulations, the AMOC tipped sometime between 2025 and 2095.
http://archive.is/Dx7EG